After the Dec. 22 car-bomb assassination of Lt. Gen. Fanil Sarvarov — which sources attribute to Ukrainian agents — the dossier says Kremlin staffers received new security orders. Cooks, bodyguards and photographers reportedly face two screenings, must use Federal Protective Service transport and are asked to stow internet-enabled smartphones.
The file warns the regime could be under strain amid a protracted war with Ukraine, citing alleged monthly casualties of 30,000 and a May 3 drone strike that destroyed a Moscow high-rise. It spotlights former defense minister Sergei Shoigu as a possible coup suspect; Shoigu was replaced in 2024 and his ex-deputy Ruslan Tsalikov was arrested March 5 on charges including embezzlement, money laundering and bribery. A U.S. intelligence source told reporters the leak signals Moscow has lost elite support — and that could spell trouble for the Kremlin.